Math Rules...Gun Violence

If you could predict who would be a victim of gun violence, would you do something to prevent them from being a victim?

That's what's being done at CPS. According to this article, "Ron Huberman (CEO of CPS) says he thinks he has found the 200 students most likely to end up shot." And he used the power of mathematics to find these students.

[Huberman] spent months poring over reams of numbers from the last five years and found some intriguing patterns: About 80 percent of the shootings involved students at 38 of the district's 89 high schools...These students skipped school about 40 percent of the time...They also were far more likely to misbehave in school and were nearly five times more likely to be off track to graduate...Huberman said based on the district analysis, 200 teenagers have a greater than 20 percent chance of getting shot. Another 1,000 have a 7.5 percent to 20 percent chance of ending up on the other side of a gun.

Huberman wants to "connect [these students] with full-time mentors and part-time jobs."

Two questions...
1. Do you think mathematics can be used to predict these victims?
2. Do you think the program of mentoring and providing jobs will work to prevent these students from being victims?